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poker_strategy
Holdem Poker Strategy FAQ last updated June 4, 2005
You are in the big blind with K6o and a player in late position (LP) raises in what seems to be a steal. Is it incorrect to call?

 

No! Unless you know that this player would never raise as a steal or you have reason to believe that this particular raise is being made with a real hand, there is no definitive mistake in seeing the flop. Note that I did not word this question "is it correct to call?" because I wouldn't be able to answer "yes" on that. This is a no-man's-land situation where it is not correct to call but it is not incorrect to call either. Whatever you do is okay as long as you are able to play effectively after the flop.

In fact, it is not incorrect to call or even reraise with most of your hands. I would still advise against calling with hands like T2 or 94 but even with hands as weak as these, it is still not incorrect to call, on the condition that you believe you play better than your opponent post-flop.

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Why is AK better than pocket deuces in a regular Holdem game?

 

Pocket deuces is the better hand preflop but the goal of holdem as well as any other poker game is NOT to have the better starting hand but to have the better finishing hand. It turns out that AK will only beat the pocket deuces 47% of the time making it a slight underdog. However, ironically even the third worst hand in holdem 83o will beat the pocket deuces 45% of the time, making it almost as good as AK when played heads up. The problem with the deuces is that you run into tough obstacles when trying to play it well after the flop, even when heads up. Since every card is an overcard, the only good flop for you if you are putting your opponent on overcards (other than a set) is trips on board. Even if your opponent is stealing with utter garbage, he still has two overcards and thus a good chance of beating you.

Therefore, if you don't hit the deuce, you will NEVER have a strong "playable hand"; your hand will be marginal on the flop and go down in value with every overcard that hits the board afterwards. On the other hand, with an AK, you have a good chance of hitting top pair, top kicker (TPTK) giving you a very strong "playable hand". The playability of a hand is extremely important especially when the action is multiway and this is why AK is a better hand preflop than pocket deuces. Obviously, if you are playing NL Holdem or if you are otherwise moving all-in against an AK preflop, then you do have a very slight advantage and there is no playability problem here because no further play is required.

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Why is position important in Holdem?

 

Position is important for several reasons:

There four betting rounds in Holdem: preflop, flop, turn, river. The order of action in any given hand is fixed for all four betting rounds and the players who act later have an advantage over players who act earlier because they "gain information" from the previous players. A check means "I'm weak". A bet means "I'm strong". A raise means "I'm stronger" and a fold means "I don't wish to contest the pot, don't worry about me".

In addition to this information gathered by late position players from the formal action of early position (EP) players, there are sometimes "tells" that accompany the EP action which can be used advantageously by LP palyers. For example: You raise with AK in LP after there have been many limpers. The flop is K99; everyone checks to you, you bet and get two callers. The turn is a blank and everyone checks to you again but you notice that one of the checkers is extremely fond of his hand and can't wait to put his chips in. He is hoping that you bet so that he can raise, so you now decide to check. On the river, when he sees that the check-raise didn't work, he comes out betting and you call in case he only has a king. He turns over 98 and wins the pot. If you were in EP, you might very well have bet the turn and then called the raise and the river bet as well which would end up costing you two big bets more than this very same hand cost you in LP, thanks to the extra information.

One more advatage from LP is that LP players pay less to get to a showdown than EP players do. For example: You have JJ in LP, you raise preflop and the two limpers call. The flop is K96 with two hearts. The first limper check-raises you on the flop, the other one drops and you call. The turn card is a blank and he checks to you. You figure that your opponent wouldn't try to check-raise you twice and he would have bet with a king and so you decide to bet and your opponent calls. The river is an offsuit ten and your opponent checks again. Again you correctly figure that your opponent is weak. He wouldn't go for a check-raise on the river here, because players very often check the river in LP and so you bet once more and you get called by a JT of hearts. Now let's see what would have happened if you were in early position. The JTh raises you on the flop and you call. On the turn you check and he decides to "take the free card" and checks again. On the river, you figure that your opponent doesn't have a king but the ten could have given him two pair or a straight. Since he raised the flop and checked the turn, you figure there's a good chance that he was on a flush draw and missed anyway, so there's no point of betting. You check and he checks behind you and shows down his JTh. Your opponent has just saved two big bets.

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What is the problem with a weak ace (ace with a small kicker)?

The most common helping flop (a flop that helps your hand sufficiently) is a flop containing an ace. However, with a weak kicker you will not have a strong hand even if the ace hits because you will be playing in fear of a better kicker. You are essentially looking to flop aces up or to trip up your kicker. Any other flop will never be really strong since just pairing your kicker leaves you vulnerable to overcards or an overpair in the hole. If you are playing multiway then the threat of a higher kicker increases because if any of your opponents had a better ace they most likely are in there with you.

If you are playing heads up or in a short pot then you might very well not be afraid of a better kicker but you are not getting good pot odds for your "ace draw" assuming that you think your ace high is no good preflop (you think your opponent has a pocket pair). Thus, your weak ace is only strong if none of your opponents have shown strength AND you have reason to believe that none of them are holding a better ace. Furtherfore, if you think noone else has an ace and you hit the ace on the flop you might not get much action because your opponents are afraid of the ace. If you do get too much action you are almost always beat or atleast your opponent is representing that he's got you beat.

By contrast, a strong ace has the following advantages as opposed to a weak ace:

* there is a great chance that you have the best hand preflop; you can beat any unpaired hand, in addition to the weak ace.

* if you are up against a pocket pair smaller than your kicker, you have two overcards and thus a good chance of beating the pocket pair with five cards to come.

* if an ace hits, you can bet it strongly and you can get action from smaller pocekt pairs who don't believe you AND from weaker aces who are drawing to a three-outer to beat you.

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 You have AK under the gun (UTG), should you raise or fold?

I know players who will always put in a raise with AK if there hasn't been a raise already when action gets to them. However, as I have already discussed in my articles, I believe this is wrong. When you raise out of position in a multiway game, you must be strong enough to value-bet most flops. Since you will only hit an ace or king on the flop about one out of three times and you will be forced to check on all other flops if action is multiway, I therefore do not consider this a strong raise. Note that since you are out of position, an aggressive player who has taken note that you habitually raise with high cards under the gun, will call you preflop with various hands and then bet or raise you on the flop if it's small cards knowing that you did not hit it. You are thus prone to get bluffed out because you have raised preflop. If you hadn't raised preflop, your savvy opponent would have a much tougher time trying to bluff you because he has no clue about what you're holding.

On the other hand, never raising with this hand under the gun is too conservative. Since this hand is very often the best hand preflop and can withstand a lot of pressure even when it isn't, it is worth a raise sometimes. In general, the AK should be raised under the gun about 40-50%. The following game conditions should help you tip the scale:

* In a tight game, raise more often. The odds are great that you won't get called at all and you don't mind taking down the pot preflop right then and there since you don't really have all that much. Moreover, if you do get called by one or two spots, there's a good chance that you're getting called by weaker hands that will miss the flop 2/3 of the time and you will thus not need to hit the flop in order to win.

* In a loose, aggressive game where your raise doesn't get much respect and opponents are liable to reraise you with various hands, don't raise under the gun. If you don't hit the ace or king on the flop you will usually have to lay it down on the flop if there's any significant action on the flop and so you'd rather not commit too much money to the pot before you hit your hand. Also, you'd rather conceal the strength of your hand and let other players do the betting for you, often with big cards that are dominated by your AK.

* In a loose, passive game it is okay to raise UTG if you don't think you'll get reraised or bluffed out. If you miss the flop, you can safely lay it down for a bet knowing that you're beat and it woouldn't have cost you any more than the two bets you have commited to the pot.

If there are several very good players behind you who might lay down hands like AJ or KJ for a UTG raise by you, then you'd rather just call and trap them in the pot along with the looser players who are playing cards that are dominated by your AK and would have called your UTG raise anyway.

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Where did Daniel Rentzer go wrong?

Gus Hansen is playing heads up against Danial Retzer in a tournament; they each have about 500k and the blinds are 5k-10k. Daniel makes a modest raise to 30k with AJo and Gus reraises to 100k with A6 of clubs. The flop is A98 with one club. Gus checks to Daniel; Daniel bets 75k and Gus calls after some hesitation. Turn card is ten of clubs giving Gus a club draw (and a straight draw which is no good). Gus checks and so does Daniel. River card if offsuit six giving Gus two pair. Gus fires out 200k and Daniel calls immediately. Daniel played his hand very bad!!! Where did he go wrong?

* Preflop. Since action is heads up, hands that are situationally marginal in a full-handed game are now monstrous. I could see Gus folding his A6s for a big raise. However, the small raise Daniel made seemed more like a QT kind of raise where the raiser isn't really looking to get called. From Gus's point of view, Daniel does not even have an ace high and he's therefore putting pressure on Daniel to fold his hand preflop. Daniel should have taken this scenario into consideration and thus moved all-in in which case I doubt Gus would have called. Daniel's call preflop implies that he's afraid of a pocket pair and he's looking to hit the flop but a pocket pair isn't that likely heads-up.

* On the flop. Clearly, if Daniel is calling Gus's reraise to 100k he's not giving him a better ace. Therefore, when the ace hits the flop Daniel must think that he has the best hand now and bettiing 75k for value into a 200k pot does not make any sense. 200k (the size of the pot) is what he should be betting here or simply move all-in. He can reasonably get called with a pocket pair or with a weaker ace. Gus himself was concerned about his kicker; apparently, when his reraise did not convince Daniel to lay down his hand, Gus realized that he may very well be up against a bigger ace and he therefore correctly checked the flop to see what Daniel would do. When Daniel made a relatively small bet, Gus apparently thought there is a good chance that he does not have the ace and he therefore called.

* The turn. From Daniel's perspective, once he does not get check-raised on the flop, it is now obvious that his big ace is good. Being afraid of an AT specifically is playing scary poker. If he thinks his kicker was good on the flop, he must think that it is still good and now is the time to move all-in or make a big bet. Checking behind Gus on the turn was a horrible mistake, even though it seems likely that he would have gotten called anyway by Gus's aces and fluch draw. Still, if I am to get beat on the river I'd rather get beat by a river after my opponent is forced to put the bulk of his chips in while he's behind.

* The river. The river 200K call was the smallest of Daniel's mistakes. Once he has played his AJ so weakly, it is conceivable that Gus is value-betting a big pocket pair or even a weak ace and his AJ might thus very well be good. Still, the 200k bet here smells like something stronger than a weak ace or pocket pair and it wouldn't have been a bad idea to lay his hand down here.

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You have AJ in LP in a relatively loose game; there has been one limper. Should you raise?

It seems that you should raise. The limper probably does not have a pocket pair and it is even less likely that he limped with AK or AQ. Moreover, you are in good position here against the limper and figure to gain free cards if needed. In fact, a raise here is usually the correct move. However, I want to point out that not raising is not necessarily a bad move, especially if you figure to get called by players behind you. If you get called by players behind you, then you have not gained LP status for the hand and it will be hard for you to play the flop if you don't catch help. Let's say the flop comes down K94 with two suits. Now while it was probably okay to assume that you had the best hand preflop, do you still have the best hand? If not, what are you up against? Is it worth it to stay in to try to catch? Should you bet out, check-call or check-fold? These are tough questions.

Remember that Holdem is a completely closed game as far as your opponent's hand is concerned. There is really no way of knowing what your opponents behind you are holding until you see their action on the flop and even then, there are still several types of hands that they can be holding, some of which you can crush. For example, your opponent might be on a flush draw, he might have AT QJ or JT. These are all hands that you have dominated. They all have outs against you but it would be a grave mistake for you to fold if you knew what they had. This is why the raise gets you in trouble. By raising preflop, you have put yourself in the aggressive position but you don't know who the enemy is and what his weapon is.

Now lets assume that you got called by two players behind you plus the limper and the big blind (5 players total), lets enumerate the the various ways you can play this hand when the flop comes K94 with two suits.

If It is checked to you, you can...

check along and then fold for a bet. This is a very good play, especially if the player who is betting respects you and is not a known bluffer. There is a possibility that he's betting the flush draw on the come but that's about the only hand you can beat and even then he still has many outs and so check-fold is a good play here.

check-call. This is not a bad play. There is the possibility that he's betting the flush draw on the come or some other drawing hand. The 9 or 4 are unlikely holdings, so if you are beat here, you are most likely beat by a pair of kings (assuming that you had the best hand preflop). Therefore, you have the right to become stubborn and not believe that he's got the king and call. This play is problematic because it is somewhat wishful thinking. In reality, the nine isn't that much of an unlikely holding (he could easily have called you with T9s, A9, 98 or the like); he could also have AQ, a pocket pair of jacks or lower or even a set of nines or fours. These are all hands that your opponent is likely to just call preflop with and then bet out or raise on the K94 flop. If you do decide to check-call the flop, you MUST assume that your opponent does not have a king, for if he does have a king, you do not have the proper odds to chase the ace here. As a corollary, if an offsuit ace or jack falls on the turn, you must assume that you have the best hand now and you should bet out (or check-raise). In other words, when you decide to call on the flop, you are doing so against what you think is a bluff/semi-bluff, a draw hand or a small pocket pair. You would never call against an AA, AK, AQ, Kx, two pair or a set.

check-raise. This is a very bold play and can be made occasionally if you think that your opponent does not have the king. Basically, you are hoping that your opponent puts you on the king and therefore winds up folding a better hand. The corollary to this play is that if you get called on the turn without much hesitation, then your opponent either has you beat and is not giving up OR he's on a draw and will only call your bet or raise on the river if he hits. This means that there is usually no point in betting the river again as a bluff. If you check and your opponent bets the river after you have check-raised the flop, your AJ-high will be beat 95% of time (or more) for your opponent has no clue that you only have AJ high and he must have some big chutzpah to bet with nothing on the river there; you must fold. There is one sort of hand, however, that will fold on the river for one more bet: a two-pair draw and a flush draw that hit a small pair. These are players who have alreadly labeled you as holding the king because you raised preflop and then check-raised on the king-high flop. They have made up their mind to stay in to the river in hopes of beating you with a straight, flush or two pair, but if they don't hit what they are looking for they are ready to fold. Sometimes, all that's needed is one more bet on the river to seal up the stolen pot for you; at others you are throwing your money away on the river with no chance of winning. A good read on your opponent is probably your best guide to tip the scale.

If you get check-raised on the flop after there have been callers behind you...

I don't see how someone can make this play without a king or better. Some players will make this play with a flush draw now that it's a multi-way pot and they are getting good odds for their draw. But if that is the case, what do the LP callers have? One of them probably has the king! Therefore, as bizarre as this may seem to the other players, your best move is to cut your loss and fold for one more bet. Interestingly, it is almost correct to call the raise if you think that any one of three aces will give you the best hand on the turn (you must be holding the suited ace for this to be the case; otherwise the suited ace will give someone a flush, suckering you in while drawing dead). The problem, however, is that you don't know that. Often times, the EP check raiser will have two pair or better and you will be extremely far behind and this is what makes a fold for one more small bet correct. You are doing it because you don't want to see the turn and hit, for you are afraid that even if you hit you will be no good. I think that if you don't have the suited ace in your hand, thus giving you three outs for top pair and the backdoor flush draw, then a call for even one small bet is a big mistake here.

If you get raised by a LP player...

Is the LP player on a draw or on a small pair? If so, it is correct to see the turn; if not you need to fold. You should usually fold here unless you have good reason to believe that the raiser is on a draw or bluffing. It would be different if the flop was something like 844. Then you are putting the raiser on a small/medium pocket pair and you are peeling a card for one more small bet in hopes of catching one out of six outs. In our case, however, the king kills your hand. If you are up against AK, or even KJ or A9 you are almost drawing dead. It's not worth it; give it up and live to fight another day.

If and EP player bets in to you...

you should fold. This is not a heads up pot and so there's no plausible way of winning this pot unimporved or through bluffing. Even if AJ is good right now (which is a wild gamble) it most likely won't be good by the river unless you hit or somehow manage to bluff out the winner. Remember that there are two players yet to act and it might cost you two bets to see the turn. Let it go!

If it's checked around on the flop and the turn card pairs the board or brings a blank...

If it's checked again to you now, a value-bet is probably correct. It seems that nobody has hit the flop and noone has anything. You might get called by a draw hand and win money without having to improve on the river but you are also protecting your hand against the draws and other hands that have missed completely but still have atleast three outs against you. These players will be happy to see the river for free but they will be unwilling to call a large bet on the turn with a weak draw and no pair.

If you bet out on the blank turn after having checked the flop and get raised, if the raiser putting you on ace-high and trying to buy the pot? If he's that kind of player, then you will have to call him down or even reraise. Most of the time, however, players will not opt to invest two big bets with nothing after the flop had been checked. Therefore, unless you have a very good read, you must fold your AJ-high for the raise.

An example of such a read occured last week. I had A8 in the small blind in a 20-40 game. A player who had been doing quite a bit of raising with medium cards like J9 and the like raised. I called to see the flop because I put him on no pair and no ace. I will usually not call a raise in the small blind with an Ax offsuit. The flop came 443 and so I bet out and he called. The turn card brought another three putting two pair on board. At this point, even if he did have a bigger ace than me we are now chopping and so I bet out again. To my surprise, he now raised me. I was concerned. I thought of the possibility that he's holding a pocket pair but would he be playing it this way against the blind? After all, the turn is a bad card for him if he's holding a pocket pair, as he may have just gotten beat by trip three's. This play betrayed his hand; I knew he didn't have a pocket pair and so I reraised him. I did this so that he might fold an ace if he has one himself, thinking that I hit the three or four. He called my raise and the river card was a blank. At that point I thought that he had atleast the ace and maybe he did have a pocket pair (he should have folded for the reraise if he had none of these) and so I checked. He bet and I called. He turned over jack-high and I took down the pot. The table was stunned but this is an example where careful obervation of my opponent's playing style and my smooth call preflop despite my suspicion that I was up against garbage gave me information that I wouldn't have had otherwise. If I had reraised him preflop, I would have a tough time calling his raise on the turn, for I would suspect that I'm up against a big pocket pair. By just meekly calling preflop, I know that he's supposed raise with a pocket pair on the flop and not on that ugly turn and this allows me to win the pot.

As you can see there are numerous possible scenarios and numerous possible plays on the K94 flop when you have AJ and none of them are obviously optimal or absolutely correct. As the A8 story illustrates, sometimes it is better not to be the aggressor and so you can better put your opponent on a hand. If you just limp with the AJ preflop and bet out on the K94 flop, you can easily fold for a raise. The raiser is not bluffing, trust me! Also, if an EP player bets into you and two more players in an unraised pot, you don't have to wonder whether he's got you and whether it pays to peel; it's an easy fold. Lastly, if noone has a king, bluffing here is much easier than if you had raised preflop. By not raising preflop, you are representing that you "hit the flop" with top pair and it is therefore all the more likely that players won't call you down unless they have the king with a good kicker or better. They might even fold a weak king.